Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006561 0.007320 0.008148 0.009118 0.010229 0.011464 0.012946
2025-06-01 0.005293 0.006314 0.007517 0.009051 0.010970 0.013313 0.016418
2025-06-08 0.004469 0.005561 0.006915 0.008739 0.011163 0.014314 0.018796
2025-06-15 0.004009 0.005162 0.006654 0.008756 0.011694 0.015729 0.021832
2025-06-22 0.003763 0.004995 0.006649 0.009077 0.012631 0.017770 0.026008
2025-06-29 0.003403 0.004627 0.006321 0.008892 0.012800 0.018696 0.028625
2025-07-06 0.003101 0.004308 0.006022 0.008701 0.012916 0.019527 0.031180
2025-07-13 0.002895 0.004103 0.005863 0.008694 0.013297 0.020798 0.034636
2025-07-20 0.002774 0.004012 0.005859 0.008918 0.014063 0.022779 0.039641
2025-07-27 0.002595 0.003816 0.005677 0.008834 0.014298 0.023871 0.043170
2025-08-03 0.002454 0.003667 0.005553 0.008827 0.014658 0.025216 0.047401
2025-08-10 0.002306 0.003495 0.005376 0.008714 0.014809 0.026186 0.051021
2025-08-17 0.002203 0.003393 0.005317 0.008811 0.015386 0.028103 0.057152
2025-08-24 0.002077 0.003246 0.005171 0.008746 0.015656 0.029469 0.062394
2025-08-31 0.001923 0.003042 0.004911 0.008447 0.015436 0.029795 0.065272
2025-09-07 0.001836 0.002943 0.004827 0.008463 0.015841 0.031494 0.071848
2025-09-14 0.001801 0.002932 0.004893 0.008771 0.016877 0.034727 0.083107
2025-09-21 0.001697 0.002793 0.004719 0.008593 0.016865 0.035580 0.088192
2025-09-28 0.001601 0.002662 0.004550 0.008411 0.016821 0.036348 0.093227
2025-10-05 0.001536 0.002582 0.004472 0.008403 0.017165 0.038104 0.101605
2025-10-12 0.001504 0.002561 0.004501 0.008619 0.018040 0.041330 0.115405
2025-10-19 0.001438 0.002472 0.004394 0.008538 0.018213 0.042769 0.123867
2025-10-26 0.001385 0.002405 0.004324 0.008532 0.018563 0.044740 0.134718